VVV-Venlo
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 15
Nov 17, 2023 at 8pm UK
Covebo Stadion - De Koel
Willem II

VVV-Venlo
1 - 3
Willem II

Ketting (89')
Ketting (40'), Smans (62'), Jansson (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Oosting (57'), Behounek (63'), Heerkens (80')
Bosch (65')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between VVV-Venlo and Willem II.

Form, Standings, Stats

VVV-Venlo

All competitions
Last Game: FC Eindhoven 0-2 VVV-Venlo
Friday, November 10 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Willem II

All competitions
Last Game: Willem II 2-1 Jong Utrecht
Friday, November 10 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 52.92%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 23.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.76%) and 0-2 (8.84%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-0 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.

Result
VVV-VenloDrawWillem II
23.67% (-0.78 -0.78)23.41% (-0.596 -0.6)52.92% (1.374 1.37)
Both teams to score 55.47% (1.067 1.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.79% (1.831 1.83)45.21% (-1.831 -1.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.44% (1.729 1.73)67.55% (-1.731 -1.73)
VVV-Venlo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.87% (0.327 0.33)33.13% (-0.329 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.27% (0.361 0.36)69.73% (-0.363 -0.36)
Willem II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.94% (1.194 1.19)17.06% (-1.196 -1.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.78% (2.071 2.07)47.22% (-2.073 -2.07)
Score Analysis
    VVV-Venlo 23.67%
    Willem II 52.92%
    Draw 23.41%
VVV-VenloDrawWillem II
1-0 @ 6.24% (-0.444 -0.44)
2-1 @ 6.1% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-0 @ 3.45% (-0.212 -0.21)
3-1 @ 2.25% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.99% (0.053 0.05)
3-0 @ 1.27% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 23.67%
1-1 @ 11.04% (-0.33 -0.33)
0-0 @ 5.65% (-0.456 -0.46)
2-2 @ 5.39% (0.099 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.075 0.08)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.41%
0-1 @ 9.99% (-0.387 -0.39)
1-2 @ 9.76% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
0-2 @ 8.84% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 5.76% (0.272 0.27)
0-3 @ 5.21% (0.202 0.2)
2-3 @ 3.18% (0.178 0.18)
1-4 @ 2.55% (0.213 0.21)
0-4 @ 2.3% (0.174 0.17)
2-4 @ 1.41% (0.129 0.13)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 52.92%

How you voted: VVV-Venlo vs Willem II

VVV-Venlo
16.7%
Draw
16.7%
Willem II
66.7%
6
Head to Head
May 27, 2023 3.30pm
First Round 2nd Leg
Willem II
2-2
VVV-Venlo
Kabangu (7'), Bosch (22')
Schouten (10'), Heerkens (73'), Owusu (76')
Venema (74'), Yasar (120+1')
Dekker (12'), de Boer (67'), Yasar (120+2')
May 23, 2023 5.45pm
First Round 1st Leg
VVV-Venlo
3-2
Willem II
Braken (41', 45+3' pen.), Venema (65')
Klaasen (5'), Braken (36')
Hornkamp (13', 36')
Llonch (45+2'), Verreth (76'), Bokila (90+1'), Hornkamp (90+4')
Apr 9, 2023 11.15am
Gameweek 32
Willem II
2-1
VVV-Venlo
Hornkamp (31', 51')
Braken (21')
Nov 11, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 15
VVV-Venlo
0-0
Willem II
Jan 10, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 15
VVV-Venlo
2-1
Willem II
Giakoumakis (79' pen., 90+3')
Giakoumakis (87')
Van der Heijden (15')
van der Heijden (52'), Holmen (66')
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rhs 2.0


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