Willem II
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 12
Oct 27, 2023 at 7pm UK
Koning Willem II Stadion

Willem II
3 - 0
Jong PSV

Oosting (44', 57'), Hilterman (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Willem II and Jong PSV.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roda JC 0-1 Willem II
Saturday, October 21 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong PSV 3-4 FC Eindhoven
Monday, October 23 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 74.5%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Jong PSV had a probability of 10.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 3-0 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.81%), while for a Jong PSV win it was 1-2 (3.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.

Result
Willem IIDrawJong PSV
74.5% (0.0010000000000048 0)15.05%10.45% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 55.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)30.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.93%52.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Willem II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.02% (0.0019999999999953 0)6.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.43% (0.0010000000000048 0)25.57% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Jong PSV Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.85% (0.00099999999999767 0)40.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.21% (0.0010000000000012 0)76.79% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Willem II 74.5%
    Jong PSV 10.45%
    Draw 15.05%
Willem IIDrawJong PSV
2-0 @ 9.93%
2-1 @ 9.06% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 8.81%
3-1 @ 8.04%
1-0 @ 7.46%
4-0 @ 5.86%
4-1 @ 5.35%
3-2 @ 3.67%
5-0 @ 3.12%
5-1 @ 2.85%
4-2 @ 2.44%
6-0 @ 1.39%
5-2 @ 1.3%
6-1 @ 1.26%
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 74.5%
1-1 @ 6.81%
2-2 @ 4.14%
0-0 @ 2.8%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 15.05%
1-2 @ 3.11% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 2.56%
2-3 @ 1.26%
0-2 @ 1.17%
1-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 10.45%

Head to Head
Jan 30, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 22
Jong PSV
3-2
Willem II
Nassoh (71'), Van Duiven (85'), Babadi (90+4')
Verreth (3'), Bokila (88')
Aug 5, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 1
Willem II
1-1
Jong PSV
Svensson (62')
Llonch (22'), Woudenberg (88')
Tielemans (57')
Comenencia (22'), Sealy (65'), Seelt (74'), Peersman (89')