Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-0 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Eindhoven would win this match.