Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 54.77%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Jong PSV had a probability of 22.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Jong PSV win it was 1-2 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.