Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 13

Nov 6, 2023 at 7pm UK

Sportpark De Toekomst

Jong Ajax
1 - 0
Willem II

Idumbo (9')
Brandes (31'), Banel (50'), Gooijer (82'), Salah-Eddine (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong Ajax and Willem II.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jong Ajax

All competitions

Last Game: Roda JC 2-1 Jong Ajax
Friday, October 27 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Willem II

All competitions

Last Game: Willem II 3-0 Jong PSV
Friday, October 27 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 53.28%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 24.79% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 2-1 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Jong Ajax	Draw	Willem II
24.79% ( -2.95)	21.92% ( -0.71)	53.28% ( 3.65)

Both teams to score 61.96% (

-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.78% (

0.77)

37.22% (

-0.77)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.57% (

0.83)

59.42% (

-0.83)

Jong Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.13% (

-1.71)

27.87% (

1.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.52% (

-2.25)

63.48% (

2.25)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.91% (

1.5)

14.09% (

-1.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.29% (

2.86)

41.7% (

-2.85)

Score Analysis

Jong Ajax 24.79%

Willem II 53.28%

Draw 21.92%

Jong Ajax	Draw	Willem II
2-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.53) 1-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.45) 2-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.46) 3-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.37) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.27) Other @ 3.63% Total : 24.79%	1-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.3% Total : 21.92%	1-2 @ 9.63% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.5) 1-3 @ 6.29% ( 0.44) 0-3 @ 4.93% ( 0.56) 2-3 @ 4.02% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 3.08% ( 0.36) 0-4 @ 2.41% ( 0.39) 2-4 @ 1.97% ( 0.15) 1-5 @ 1.21% ( 0.2) 0-5 @ 0.95% ( 0.19) Other @ 3.56% Total : 53.28%