Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 37.45% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.18%) and 2-0 (5.17%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
De Graafschap	Draw	Cambuur
39.53% ( 0.2)	23.02% ( 0.01)	37.45% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 65.27% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.06% (

-0.07)

35.94% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.97% (

-0.07)

58.03% (

0.07)

De Graafschap Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.26% (

0.06)

18.73% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.89% (

0.1)

50.11% (

-0.1)

Cambuur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.31% (

-0.13)

19.68% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.32% (

-0.2)

51.68% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

De Graafschap 39.53%

Cambuur 37.45%

Draw 23.01%

De Graafschap	Draw	Cambuur
2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.69% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.81% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.61% Total : 39.53%	1-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.39% Total : 23.01%	1-2 @ 8.16% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.99% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.42% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.29% Total : 37.45%