Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for De Graafschap had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest De Graafschap win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.