Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Helmond Sport win with a probability of 48.93%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 26.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Helmond Sport win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Telstar win was 0-1 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Helmond Sport in this match.