Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Helmond Sport win with a probability of 50.63%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 26.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Helmond Sport win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 1-2 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.