Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 30.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.

Result
Helmond Sport	Draw	Groningen
30.93% ( 0.02)	25.94% ( 0.01)	43.12% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 53.06% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.92% (

-0.04)

51.08% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.06% (

-0.03)

72.93% (

0.03)

Helmond Sport Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.39% (

-0)

30.6% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.16% (

-0)

66.84% (

Groningen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.46% (

-0.03)

23.54% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.41% (

-0.05)

57.59% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Helmond Sport 30.93%

Groningen 43.12%

Draw 25.94%

Helmond Sport	Draw	Groningen
1-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.31% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.88% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.99% ( 0) Other @ 3.08% Total : 30.93%	1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.94%	0-1 @ 10.42% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.92% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.54% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.3% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.63% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.31% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.97% Total : 43.12%