KNVB Beker
Jan 16, 2024 5.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Sportpark Dijkpolder
  • Kevin Dercks 1' goal
  • Devin Plank 69' yellowcard
  • goal Jort van der Sande 83'
  • goal Henk Veerman 90'

Excelsior Maassluis vs ADO Den Haag - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Excelsior Maassluis

All competitions

ADO Den Haag

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 61.56%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Excelsior Maassluis had a probability of 18.31%.

The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.09%) and 0-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Excelsior Maassluis win it was 2-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for ADO Den Haag in this match.

Result

Excelsior Maassluis 18.31% (-0.06)
Draw 20.12% (-0.02)
ADO Den Haag 61.56% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.48% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.65% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 37.34% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 40.44% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 59.56% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 22.49% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 77.5% (+0.03)

Excelsior Maassluis Goals

Over 0.5 66.23% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 33.76% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 29.57% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 70.42% (+0.08)

ADO Den Haag Goals

Over 0.5 88.29% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 11.7% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 63.19% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 36.8% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Excelsior Maassluis 18.31%
Draw 20.12%
ADO Den Haag 61.56%
Excelsior Maassluis
2-1 @ 5% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 4.29% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 2.33% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.81% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 18.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.2% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.36% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 3.95% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 20.12%
ADO Den Haag
1-2 @ 9.87% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 9.09% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 8.48% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 7.06% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 6.5% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.83% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 3.79% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 3.49% (+0.02)
2-4 @ 2.06% (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.63% (+0.01)
0-5 @ 1.5% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.27%
Total : 61.56%