Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 37.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.89%) and 0-2 (5.47%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.