Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 51.91%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 25.14% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.