Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 50.39%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 27.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.65%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 2-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.