Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dordrecht win with a probability of 51.15%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dordrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.5%) and 1-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-2 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.