Eredivisie
Gameweek
21
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/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fajalog.png)
-
Pelle van Amersfoort
11'
-
Osame Sahraoui
38'
-
Pelle van Amersfoort
46'
-
Sven van Beek
49'
-
Mats Kohlert
51'
-
Oliver Braude
65'
-
Pawel Bochniewicz
72'
-
Pawel Bochniewicz
51'
(OG)
-
Chuba Akpom
79'
Heerenveen vs Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 38.76% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (4.94%) and 2-3 (4.66%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
Result
Heerenveen
38.76%
▼
(-0.88)
Draw
21.27%
▼
(-0.03)
Ajax
39.97%
▲
(+0.90)
Both Teams to Score:
72.38%
▲
(+0.10)
Goals
Over 2.5
73.19%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 2.5
26.8%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 3.5
52.76%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 3.5
47.24%
▼
(-0.16)
Over 4.5
33.32%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 4.5
66.68%
▼
(-0.15)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5
84.85%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 0.5
15.15%
▲
(+0.29)
Over 1.5
56.26%
▼
(-0.54)
Under 1.5
43.73%
▲
(+0.54)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5
85.3%
▲
(+0.39)
Under 0.5
14.69%
▼
(-0.40)
Over 1.5
57.13%
▲
(+0.75)
Under 1.5
42.86%
▼
(-0.75)
Score analysis
Heerenveen
38.76%
Draw
21.27%
Ajax
39.97%
Heerenveen
2-1
@
7.6%
▼
(-0.11)
3-1 @ 4.78% ▼ (-0.12)
3-2 @ 4.59% ▼ (-0.05)
1-0 @ 4.2% ▼ (-0.08)
2-0 @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.12)
3-0 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.10)
4-1 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.08)
4-2 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.05)
4-3 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 38.76%
3-1 @ 4.78% ▼ (-0.12)
3-2 @ 4.59% ▼ (-0.05)
1-0 @ 4.2% ▼ (-0.08)
2-0 @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.12)
3-0 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.10)
4-1 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.08)
4-2 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.05)
4-3 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 38.76%
Draw
1-1
@
8.05%
▼
(-0.03)
2-2 @ 7.29% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 2.93% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 21.27%
2-2 @ 7.29% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 2.93% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 21.27%
Ajax
1-2
@
7.72%
▲
(+0.08)
1-3 @ 4.94% ▲ (+0.12)
2-3 @ 4.66% ▲ (+0.07)
0-1 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.09% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.09)
1-4 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.09)
2-4 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.07)
3-4 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 4.4%
Total : 39.97%
1-3 @ 4.94% ▲ (+0.12)
2-3 @ 4.66% ▲ (+0.07)
0-1 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.09% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.09)
1-4 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.09)
2-4 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.07)
3-4 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 4.4%
Total : 39.97%
Head to Head
Eredivisie
Gameweek
11
-
Steven Bergwijn
25'
-
Brian Brobbey
42'
-
Branco van den Boomen
60'
-
Chuba Akpom
84'
-
Chuba Akpom
90'+2'
-
Pelle van Amersfoort
40'
-
Luuk Brouwers
45'+1'
-
Simon Olsson
81'
Eredivisie
Gameweek
25
-
Pelle van Amersfoort
42'
-
Sydney van Hooijdonk
79'
-
Mohammed Kudus
10'
-
Edson Alvarez
16'
-
Steven Bergwijn
19'
-
Kenneth Taylor
52'
Eredivisie
Gameweek
6
-
Davy Klaassen
4'
-
Kenneth Taylor
16'
-
Mohammed Kudus
48'
-
Mohammed Kudus
59'
-
Brian Brobbey
70'
Eredivisie
Gameweek
29
-
Nicolas Tagliafico
19'
-
Steven Berghuis
33'
-
Sebastien Haller
38'
-
Brian Brobbey
85'
-
Edson Alvarez
90'
Eredivisie
Gameweek
8
-
Nicolas Madsen
55'
-
Rami Kaib
61'
-
Milan van Ewijk
90'
-
Sven van Beek
90'+1'
-
Sebastien Haller
24'
-
David Neres
75'
Eredivisie
Gameweek
28
-
Mitchell van Bergen
27'
-
Dusan Tadic
36'
-
Sebastien Haller
61'
-
Nicolas Tagliafico
86'