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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 18
Jan 19, 2024 at 7pm UK
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
Heerenveen

Excelsior
3 - 0
Heerenveen

Driouech (18'), Parrott (24'), Lamprou (63')
Lamprou (34'), Driouech (57')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Haye (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Excelsior 0-2 Groningen
Tuesday, January 16 at 7pm in KNVB Beker
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 2-2 Heerenveen
Saturday, January 13 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 1-1 Heerenveen

Excelsior will be low on confidence following their exit of the KNVB Cup at the hands of second-tier side Groningen in their last fixture. Heerenveen battled back to earn a point at Zwolle last time out, and we are expecting the same result for the visitors on Friday night in Rotterdam. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.63%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawHeerenveen
31.73% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04) 23.54% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 44.72% (0.064 0.06)
Both teams to score 61.67% (0.083999999999996 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60% (0.11499999999999 0.11)39.99% (-0.118 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.64% (0.11799999999999 0.12)62.35% (-0.122 -0.12)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.4% (0.031999999999996 0.03)24.6% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.9% (0.043000000000006 0.04)59.1% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.79% (0.072000000000003 0.07)18.2% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.78% (0.124 0.12)49.22% (-0.128 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 31.73%
    Heerenveen 44.72%
    Draw 23.53%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawHeerenveen
2-1 @ 7.5% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.28% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.4% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.99% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.06% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 31.73%
1-1 @ 10.69% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.39% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.48% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.7% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.53%
1-2 @ 9.11% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 7.63% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.5% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 5.17% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.69% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.63% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.2% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.57% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.55% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 44.72%

How you voted: Excelsior vs Heerenveen

SBV Excelsior
28.0%
Draw
28.0%
Heerenveen
44.0%
25
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 6
Heerenveen
0-3
Excelsior

Hall (19'), van Beek (35'), Kohlert (56'), Walemark (81')
Driouech (21'), Agrafiotis (45+2'), Parrott (88')
Horemans (68'), Zagre (81')
May 13, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 32
Heerenveen
0-0
Excelsior
Nunnely (64'), Bruma (78'), Bochniewicz (90+3')
El Yaakoubi (66'), Kharchouch (73')
Nov 5, 2022 8pm
Mar 30, 2019 7.45pm
Sep 22, 2018 6.45pm
Gameweek 6
Excelsior
3-3
Heerenveen
Messaoud (12', 51'), Bruins (42')
Bulthuis (49'), Thorsby (59'), Hornkamp (92')
Thorsby (27')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV312731103178684
2Feyenoord31236280245675
3FC Twente31196659312863
4AZ AlkmaarAZ31177762352758
5Ajax31131086558749
6NECNijmegen311211859471247
7FC UtrechtUtrecht31121094543246
8Sparta RotterdamSparta31127124643343
9Go Ahead Eagles31119114542342
10Heerenveen31106155064-1436
11PEC Zwolle3198144359-1635
12Fortuna SittardSittard3198143655-1935
13Almere CityAlmere City31712123151-2033
14Heracles3195174165-2432
15SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior31511154666-2026
16RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3167183152-2125
17FC VolendamVolendam3147203075-4519
RVitesse3155212570-452


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