/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Ftwelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fexclog.png)
-
Manfred Ugalde
45'
-
Ricky van Wolfswinkel
59'
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Gijs Smal
67'
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Robin Propper
77'
-
Ricky van Wolfswinkel
80'
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Younes Taha
85'
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Troy Parrott
9'
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Sven Nieuwpoort
13'
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Noah Naujoks
24'
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Arthur Zagre
24'
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Marinus Dijkhuizen
25'
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Couhaib Driouech
26'
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Siebe Horemans
57'
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Sven Nieuwpoort
59'
FC Twente vs SBV Excelsior - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 68.73%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 13.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.28%) and 3-1 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.75%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 1-2 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result
FC Twente
68.73%
▲
(+0.18)
Draw
17.31%
▼
(-0.06)
SBV Excelsior
13.96%
▼
(-0.12)
Both Teams to Score:
58.63%
▼
(-0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5
67.56%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 2.5
32.44%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
45.93%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 3.5
54.07%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 4.5
27.1%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 4.5
72.9%
▼
(-0.02)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5
91.42%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 0.5
8.58%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 1.5
70.35%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 1.5
29.65%
▼
(-0.11)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5
64.14%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 0.5
35.86%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 1.5
27.36%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 1.5
72.64%
▲
(+0.15)
Score analysis
FC Twente
68.73%
Draw
17.31%
SBV Excelsior
13.96%
FC Twente
2-1
@
9.52%
▼
(-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.28% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 7.79% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.59% ▲ (+0.04)
1-0 @ 7.56% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 4.78% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 4.66% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.99% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 2.45% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.03)
5-2 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 5.27%
Total : 68.73%
2-0 @ 9.28% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 7.79% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.59% ▲ (+0.04)
1-0 @ 7.56% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 4.78% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 4.66% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.99% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 2.45% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.03)
5-2 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 5.27%
Total : 68.73%
Draw
1-1
@
7.75%
▼
(-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.88% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 17.31%
2-2 @ 4.88% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 17.31%
SBV Excelsior
1-2
@
3.97%
▼
(-0.03)
0-1 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 13.96%
0-1 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 13.96%