/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fpsvlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fexclog.png)
-
Luuk de Jong
13'
-
Luuk de Jong
17'
-
Luuk de Jong
69'
-
Derensili Sanches Fernandes
82'
PSV Eindhoven vs SBV Excelsior - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F45%2Fluuk-de-jong.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 76.54%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 9.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 3-0 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.82%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 1-2 (2.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
PSV Eindhoven Goals
SBV Excelsior Goals
Score analysis
2-1 @ 8.48% ▲ (+0.23)
3-0 @ 8.33% ▲ (+0.20)
3-1 @ 8.23% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 6.06% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 5.99% ▼ (-0.19)
1-0 @ 5.89% ▲ (+0.47)
3-2 @ 4.07% ▼ (-0.12)
5-0 @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.12)
5-1 @ 3.49% ▼ (-0.22)
4-2 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.17)
5-2 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.16)
6-0 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.11)
6-1 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 5.8%
Total : 76.54%
2-2 @ 4.19% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.22)
3-3 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 13.65%
0-1 @ 2% ▲ (+0.17)
2-3 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 9.81%
Guus Til
68'