Eredivisie | Gameweek 17

Jan 13, 2024 at 7pm UK

MAC³PARK Stadion

PEC Zwolle
2 - 2
Heerenveen

Namli (64'), Thy (73')
Kersten (8')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Tahiri (7' pen.), Nunnely (90+1')
Tahiri (8'), Kohlert (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between PEC Zwolle and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PEC Zwolle

All competitions

Last Game: Ajax 2-2 PEC Zwolle
Sunday, December 17 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Heerenveen

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Vitesse 1-0 Heerenveen
Thursday, December 21 at 7pm in KNVB Beker

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 50.94%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
PEC Zwolle	Draw	Heerenveen
50.94% ( 0.79)	22.66% ( -0.01)	26.4% ( -0.78)

Both teams to score 61.02% (

-0.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.8% (

-0.59)

39.2% (

0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.47% (

-0.62)

61.53% (

0.62)

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.43% (

0.06)

15.57% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.47% (

0.11)

44.53% (

-0.11)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.27% (

-0.87)

27.73% (

0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.7% (

-1.13)

63.29% (

1.12)

Score Analysis

PEC Zwolle 50.94%

Heerenveen 26.4%

Draw 22.65%

PEC Zwolle	Draw	Heerenveen
2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.79% Total : 50.94%	1-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.65%	1-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 5.54% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.82% Total : 26.4%