Eredivisie | Gameweek 20

Feb 3, 2024 at 7pm UK

Johan Cruijff Arena

Ajax
1 - 1
PSV

Berghuis (19')
Hato (26')

FT(HT: 1-1)

de Jong (34')
Schouten (72'), Ramalho (76'), Lozano (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Heracles 2-4 Ajax
Saturday, January 27 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: PSV 2-0 Almere City
Saturday, January 27 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.2%) and 1-0 (4.92%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Ajax	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
42.17% ( 0.86)	21.69% ( -0.13)	36.13% ( -0.73)

Both teams to score 70.33% (

0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.69% (

0.53)

29.31% (

-0.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.64% (

0.64)

50.35% (

-0.64)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.08% (

0.54)

14.91% (

-0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.7% (

1.01)

43.29% (

-1.01)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.66% (

-0.08)

17.33% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.28% (

-0.15)

47.71% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Ajax 42.17%

PSV Eindhoven 36.13%

Draw 21.69%

Ajax	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 4.92% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.06) 4-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.37% Total : 42.17%	1-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 7.19% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.64% Total : 21.69%	1-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 4.41% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 4.2% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.93% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.19% Total : 36.13%