Eredivisie | Gameweek 19

Jan 27, 2024 at 5.45pm UK

Philips Stadion

PSV
2 - 0
Almere City

de Jong (45', 63' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

Floranus (5'), Pena (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and Almere City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Feyenoord 1-0 PSV
Wednesday, January 24 at 7pm in KNVB Beker

Goals
for

Top scorers

Almere City

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Almere City 0-0 Sittard
Wednesday, January 24 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 81.39%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 7.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.39%) and 3-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.15%), while for an Almere City win it was 1-2 (2.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Almere City
81.39% ( -0.57)	11.6% ( 0.33)	7.01% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 54.34% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

75% (

-0.78)

25% (

0.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

55.08% (

-1.02)

44.92% (

1.02)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.39% (

-0.23)

4.61% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

81.21% (

-0.71)

18.79% (

0.71)

Almere City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.96% (

-0.03)

43.04% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.68% (

-0.02)

79.32% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

PSV Eindhoven 81.39%

Almere City 7.01%

Draw 11.6%

PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Almere City
3-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.21) 5-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.14) 5-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 3.42% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.04) 6-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.11) 6-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.1) 5-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.05) 7-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.07) Other @ 5.14% Total : 81.39%	1-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.17% Total : 11.6%	1-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.23% Total : 7.01%