Eredivisie | Gameweek 16

Dec 17, 2023 at 11.15am UK

Yanmar Stadion

Almere City
5 - 0
Vitesse

Cathline (28'), Kitala (43'), Jacobs (82'), Pena (87'), Robinet (90+4' pen.)

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and Vitesse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almere City

All competitions

Last Game: AZ 4-1 Almere City
Saturday, December 9 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Vitesse

All competitions

Last Game: Vitesse 2-0 Heracles
Sunday, December 10 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Almere City	Draw	Vitesse
34.62% ( 3.27)	24.78% ( 1.62)	40.6% ( -4.88)

Both teams to score 58.25% (

-4.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.1% (

-6.58)

44.9% (

6.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.75% (

-6.65)

67.26% (

6.66)

Almere City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.76% (

-1.22)

25.25% (

1.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.01% (

-1.72)

60% (

1.73)

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.92% (

-4.84)

22.08% (

4.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.56% (

-7.89)

55.44% (

7.9)

Score Analysis

Almere City 34.62%

Vitesse 40.6%

Draw 24.78%

Almere City	Draw	Vitesse
2-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.57) 1-0 @ 7.68% ( 1.77) 2-0 @ 5.28% ( 1.07) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.33) 3-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.42) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.63% Total : 34.62%	1-1 @ 11.59% ( 1.21) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.49) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( 1.44) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.42) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.78%	1-2 @ 8.75% ( -0.37) 0-1 @ 8.42% ( 1.14) 0-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.41% ( -0.94) 0-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.55) 2-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.78) 1-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.69) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.44) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.53) Other @ 2.41% Total : 40.6%