Eredivisie Gameweek 16
Dec 17, 2023 11.15am
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT Yanmar Stadion
  • Yoann Cathline 28' goal
  • Yann Kitala 43' goal
  • Joey Jacobs 82' goal
  • Alvaro Pena 87' goal
  • Thomas Robinet 90'+4' goal

Almere City vs Vitesse - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Almere City

All competitions
Last game
Dec 9, 2023 8.00pm
AZ 4 - 1 Almere City
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Thomas Robinet

Vitesse

All competitions
Last game
Dec 10, 2023 3.45pm
Vitesse 2 - 0 Heracles
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Marco van Ginkel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result

Almere City 34.62% (+3.27)
Draw 24.78% (+1.62)
Vitesse 40.6% (-4.88)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.25% (-4.64)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.1% (-6.58)
Under 2.5 44.9% (+6.59)
Over 3.5 32.75% (-6.65)
Under 3.5 67.26% (+6.66)
Over 4.5 16.61% (-5.05)
Under 4.5 83.39% (+5.06)

Almere City Goals

Over 0.5 74.76% (-1.23)
Under 0.5 25.25% (+1.24)
Over 1.5 40.01% (-1.72)
Under 1.5 60% (+1.73)

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5 77.92% (-4.84)
Under 0.5 22.08% (+4.85)
Over 1.5 44.56% (-7.89)
Under 1.5 55.44% (+7.90)

Score analysis

Almere City 34.62%
Draw 24.78%
Vitesse 40.6%
Almere City
2-1 @ 7.98% (+0.58)
1-0 @ 7.68% (+1.77)
2-0 @ 5.28% (+1.07)
3-1 @ 3.66% (+0.15)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.34)
3-0 @ 2.42% (+0.43)
4-1 @ 1.26% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 34.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.59% (+1.21)
2-2 @ 6.02% (-0.49)
0-0 @ 5.58% (+1.44)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.43)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.78%
Vitesse
1-2 @ 8.75% (-0.38)
0-1 @ 8.42% (+1.15)
0-2 @ 6.36% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 4.41% (-0.95)
0-3 @ 3.2% (-0.55)
2-3 @ 3.03% (-0.79)
1-4 @ 1.66% (-0.69)
0-4 @ 1.21% (-0.44)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.54)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 40.6%