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FC Utrecht
Eredivisie | Gameweek 18
Jan 21, 2024 at 11.15am UK
Stadion Galgenwaard
PSV

Utrecht
1 - 1
PSV

Boussaid (53')
Toornstra (27'), Fraulo (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bakayoko (7')
de Jong (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 54.45%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 24.49% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.03%) and 0-1 (6.74%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
FC UtrechtDrawPSV Eindhoven
24.49% (-0.91 -0.91)21.06% (-0.064 -0.06)54.45% (0.977 0.98)
Both teams to score 64.79% (-0.83200000000001 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.63% (-0.642 -0.64)33.37% (0.646 0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.85% (-0.739 -0.74)55.15% (0.742 0.74)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.99% (-1.006 -1.01)26.01% (1.01 1.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.96% (-1.378 -1.38)61.03% (1.38 1.38)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.56% (0.068999999999988 0.07)12.43% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.64% (0.142 0.14)38.36% (-0.139 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    FC Utrecht 24.49%
    PSV Eindhoven 54.45%
    Draw 21.07%
FC UtrechtDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 6.11% (-0.131 -0.13)
1-0 @ 4.36% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 2.93% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-1 @ 2.75% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-0 @ 1.32% (-0.071 -0.07)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-1 @ 0.92% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 24.49%
1-1 @ 9.08% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 6.37% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 3.23% (0.109 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.99% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 21.07%
1-2 @ 9.46% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
0-2 @ 7.03% (0.271 0.27)
0-1 @ 6.74% (0.243 0.24)
1-3 @ 6.58% (0.084 0.08)
0-3 @ 4.88% (0.2 0.2)
2-3 @ 4.43% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-4 @ 3.43% (0.053 0.05)
0-4 @ 2.55% (0.111 0.11)
2-4 @ 2.31% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-5 @ 1.43% (0.026 0.03)
0-5 @ 1.06% (0.049 0.05)
3-4 @ 1.04% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-5 @ 0.96% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 54.45%

How you voted: Utrecht vs PSV

FC Utrecht
20.0%
Draw
6.7%
PSV Eindhoven
73.3%
15
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 1
PSV
2-0
Utrecht
Lang (45+3'), Vertessen (77')
Ramalho (48'), Teze (55')
Feb 19, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 22
Utrecht
2-2
PSV
Boussaid (33'), Van de Streek (60')
Bakayoko (41'), De Jong (57')
Oct 16, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 10
PSV
6-1
Utrecht
Simons (8', 60'), Til (33', 38'), El Ghazi (86', 89')
Mar 13, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 23
Utrecht
0-1
PSV

Warmerdam (20'), Maher (88')
Zahavi (53')
Teze (86'), Junior (90+1'), Vinicius (90+1')
Dec 4, 2021 3.30pm
Gameweek 13
PSV
4-1
Utrecht
Gakpo (27'), Ramalho (35'), Doan (51'), Mwene (70')