Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 48.81%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.