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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 39.31%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Almere City | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 39.31% ( | 24.73% ( | 35.96% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.64% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.51% ( | 44.49% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.14% ( | 66.86% ( |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.46% ( | 22.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.88% ( | 56.12% ( |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.7% ( | 24.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.33% ( | 58.68% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Almere City | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 2-1 @ 8.6% ( 1-0 @ 8.16% ( 2-0 @ 6.08% ( 3-1 @ 4.27% ( 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 3-0 @ 3.02% ( 4-1 @ 1.59% ( 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 4-0 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 2.32% Total : 39.31% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0-0 @ 5.48% ( 3-3 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.73% | 1-2 @ 8.17% ( 0-1 @ 7.75% ( 0-2 @ 5.48% ( 1-3 @ 3.85% ( 2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0-3 @ 2.59% ( 1-4 @ 1.36% ( 2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 1.97% Total : 35.96% |