KNVB Beker | Round of 16
Jan 17, 2024 at 7pm UK
Yanmar Stadion
Fortuna Sittard

Almere City
1 - 2
Sittard

Hansen (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Sierhuis (25', 42')
Coverage of the KNVB Beker Round of 16 clash between Almere City and Fortuna Sittard.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almere City

All competitions
KNVB Beker
Last Game: Volendam 0-1 Almere City
Sunday, January 14 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions
KNVB Beker
Last Game: Sittard 0-2 Sparta
Saturday, January 13 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.05%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Fortuna Sittard in this match.

Result
Almere CityDrawFortuna Sittard
35.53% (0.762 0.76)24.56% (-0.138 -0.14)39.9% (-0.624 -0.62)
Both teams to score 59.19% (0.638 0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.26% (0.77 0.77)43.74% (-0.768 -0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.87% (0.748 0.75)66.13% (-0.748 -0.75)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.81% (0.78700000000001 0.79)24.19% (-0.787 -0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.48% (1.102 1.1)58.51% (-1.102 -1.1)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.08% (0.031999999999996 0.03)21.92% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.81% (0.048000000000002 0.05)55.19% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Almere City 35.53%
    Fortuna Sittard 39.9%
    Draw 24.56%
Almere CityDrawFortuna Sittard
2-1 @ 8.11% (0.106 0.11)
1-0 @ 7.53% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 5.34% (0.064 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.84% (0.135 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.91% (0.106 0.11)
3-0 @ 2.53% (0.087 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.078 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 35.53%
1-1 @ 11.42% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 6.15% (0.085 0.09)
0-0 @ 5.3% (-0.18 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.47% (0.055 0.06)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.56%
1-2 @ 8.67% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
0-1 @ 8.05% (-0.266 -0.27)
0-2 @ 6.11% (-0.196 -0.2)
1-3 @ 4.39% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.11% (0.046 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.09% (-0.096 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.66% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.18% (0.019 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 39.9%

How you voted: Almere City vs Sittard

Almere City
81.3%
Draw
6.3%
Fortuna Sittard
12.5%
16
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 2
Sittard
2-1
Almere City
Akujobi (8' og.), Rosier (24')
Rosier (50'), Sierhuis (90+6'), Robberechts (90+2')
Robinet (33')
Floranus (12'), Koopmeiners (26')
> Preview
Mar 30, 2018 7pm
Almere City
1-4
Sittard
MacDonald (51')
van Buuren (85')
Vidigal (2', 6', 26'), Stokkers (35')
Sep 1, 2017 7pm
Sittard
2-1
Almere City
Askovski (4', 43')
Askovski (2'), Malsa (88')
Valpoort (80')
Owusu (31'), Salasiwa (45'), Mirani (55'), Mac-Intosch (77'), Valpoort (81')