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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 28.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 47.08% ( | 24.06% ( | 28.86% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.13% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.08% ( | 43.92% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.69% ( | 66.3% ( |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.19% ( | 18.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.77% ( | 50.23% ( |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.59% ( | 28.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.83% ( | 64.16% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 1-0 @ 8.93% ( 2-0 @ 7.46% ( 3-1 @ 5.23% ( 3-0 @ 4.16% ( 3-2 @ 3.29% ( 4-1 @ 2.19% ( 4-0 @ 1.74% ( 4-2 @ 1.38% ( Other @ 3.34% Total : 47.08% | 1-1 @ 11.23% 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0-0 @ 5.34% ( 3-3 @ 1.38% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.06% | 1-2 @ 7.07% ( 0-1 @ 6.72% ( 0-2 @ 4.23% ( 1-3 @ 2.97% ( 2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0-3 @ 1.77% ( 1-4 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.68% Total : 28.86% |