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Eredivisie | Gameweek 21
Feb 9, 2024 at 7pm UK
Mandemakers Stadion
NEC

RKC Waalwijk
2 - 0
Nijmegen

Min (7', 22' pen.)
Meijers (51'), Meijers (51'), Lelieveld (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Nuytinck (63'), Sandler (67'), Proper (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between RKC Waalwijk and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RKC Waalwijk

All competitions
Last Game: FC Twente 3-0 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, February 3 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

NEC

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 3-0 ADO Den Haag
Tuesday, February 6 at 7pm in KNVB Beker

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for NEC had a probability of 37.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RKC Waalwijk would win this match.

Result
RKC WaalwijkDrawNEC
38.15% (0.151 0.15)24.44% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03)37.41% (-0.11600000000001 -0.12)
Both teams to score 59.84% (0.132 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.02% (0.17 0.17)42.99% (-0.169 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.61% (0.166 0.17)65.39% (-0.166 -0.17)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.54% (0.15299999999999 0.15)22.46% (-0.155 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44% (0.229 0.23)56% (-0.22799999999999 -0.23)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.16% (0.016000000000005 0.02)22.84% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.44% (0.021999999999998 0.02)56.56% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    RKC Waalwijk 38.15%
    NEC 37.41%
    Draw 24.44%
RKC WaalwijkDrawNEC
2-1 @ 8.45% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.66% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.72% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.21% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.11% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.85% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.57% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.06% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 38.15%
1-1 @ 11.31% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.24% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.13% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.53% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.44%
1-2 @ 8.35% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.57% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.59% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.07% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.75% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.52% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.13% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.02% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 37.41%

How you voted: RKC Waalwijk vs Nijmegen

RKC Waalwijk
15.1%
Draw
7.5%
NEC
77.4%
53
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 3
Nijmegen
3-0
RKC Waalwijk
Mattsson (23', 90'), Rober (90+5')
Hoedemakers (16')

Min (60'), Oukili (90+1')
> Preview
Mar 18, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 26
RKC Waalwijk
1-3
Nijmegen
Anita (61')
Tannane (18', 31'), Tavsan (26')
> Preview
Nov 13, 2022 11.15am
Gameweek 14
Nijmegen
6-1
RKC Waalwijk
Dimata (38' pen.), Elkarouani (50'), Mattsson (73'), Marques (78', 90+2'), Tavsan (88')
Van den Buijs (4' pen.)
> Preview
Feb 19, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 21
Nijmegen
1-1
RKC Waalwijk
Okita (88')
Odenthal (79'), Schone (90+1')
Van der Venne (18')
Buttner (71'), Touba (90+1'), Gaari (90+3')
> Preview
Dec 5, 2021 11.15am
Gameweek 14
RKC Waalwijk
2-1
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Odgaard (28'), Kuijpers (90+3')
Augustijns (54'), Adewoye (62'), Azhil (90')
Bruijn (16')
Marquez (47'), Odenthal (65'), Verdonk (84')
> Preview