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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Waalwijk logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 21
Feb 9, 2024 at 7pm UK
Mandemakers Stadion
NEC

RKC Waalwijk
2 - 0
Nijmegen

Min (7', 22' pen.)
Meijers (51'), Meijers (51'), Lelieveld (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Nuytinck (63'), Sandler (67'), Proper (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between RKC Waalwijk and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Twente 3-0 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, February 3 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 3-0 ADO Den Haag
Tuesday, February 6 at 7pm in KNVB Beker

We said: RKC Waalwijk 1-2 NEC

RKC have been enduring an awful run of form recently, and we cannot imagine their fortunes changing against in-form opposition on Friday night. NEC will be full of confidence following their progression in the KNVB Beker, so we are expecting maximum points for the visitors at the Mandemakers Stadion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for NEC had a probability of 37.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RKC Waalwijk would win this match.

Result
RKC WaalwijkDrawNEC
38.15% (0.151 0.15) 24.44% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03) 37.41% (-0.11600000000001 -0.12)
Both teams to score 59.84% (0.132 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.02% (0.17 0.17)42.99% (-0.169 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.61% (0.166 0.17)65.39% (-0.166 -0.17)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.54% (0.15299999999999 0.15)22.46% (-0.155 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44% (0.229 0.23)56% (-0.22799999999999 -0.23)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.16% (0.016000000000005 0.02)22.84% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.44% (0.021999999999998 0.02)56.56% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    RKC Waalwijk 38.15%
    NEC 37.41%
    Draw 24.44%
RKC WaalwijkDrawNEC
2-1 @ 8.45% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.66% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.72% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.21% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.11% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.85% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.57% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.06% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 38.15%
1-1 @ 11.31% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.24% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.13% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.53% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.44%
1-2 @ 8.35% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.57% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.59% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.07% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.75% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.52% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.13% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.02% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 37.41%

How you voted: RKC Waalwijk vs Nijmegen

RKC Waalwijk
15.1%
Draw
7.5%
NEC
77.4%
53
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 3
Nijmegen
3-0
RKC Waalwijk
Mattsson (23', 90'), Rober (90+5')
Hoedemakers (16')

Min (60'), Oukili (90+1')
Mar 18, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 26
RKC Waalwijk
1-3
Nijmegen
Anita (61')
Tannane (18', 31'), Tavsan (26')
Nov 13, 2022 11.15am
Gameweek 14
Nijmegen
6-1
RKC Waalwijk
Dimata (38' pen.), Elkarouani (50'), Mattsson (73'), Marques (78', 90+2'), Tavsan (88')
Van den Buijs (4' pen.)
Feb 19, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 21
Nijmegen
1-1
RKC Waalwijk
Okita (88')
Odenthal (79'), Schone (90+1')
Van der Venne (18')
Buttner (71'), Touba (90+1'), Gaari (90+3')
Dec 5, 2021 11.15am
Gameweek 14
RKC Waalwijk
2-1
Nijmegen
Odgaard (28'), Kuijpers (90+3')
Augustijns (54'), Adewoye (62'), Azhil (90')
Bruijn (16')
Marquez (47'), Odenthal (65'), Verdonk (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV312731103178684
2Feyenoord31236280245675
3FC Twente31196659312863
4AZ AlkmaarAZ31177762352758
5Ajax31131086558749
6NECNijmegen311211859471247
7FC UtrechtUtrecht31121094543246
8Sparta RotterdamSparta31127124643343
9Go Ahead Eagles31119114542342
10Heerenveen31106155064-1436
11PEC Zwolle3198144359-1635
12Fortuna SittardSittard3198143655-1935
13Almere CityAlmere City31712123151-2033
14Heracles3195174165-2432
15SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior31511154666-2026
16RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3167183152-2125
17FC VolendamVolendam3147203075-4519
RVitesse3155212570-452


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