Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 43.16%. A win for Bodo/Glimt had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.33%) and 3-2 (5.05%). The likeliest Bodo/Glimt win was 1-2 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.