Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 91.34%. A draw had a probability of 6% and a win for Aalesund had a probability of 2.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (10.15%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.69%), while for an Aalesund win it was 1-2 (0.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.