Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valerenga Fotball win with a probability of 71.61%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Aalesund had a probability of 11.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valerenga Fotball win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 3-0 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.73%), while for an Aalesund win it was 1-2 (3.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valerenga Fotball would win this match.