Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 16
Jul 29, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Intility Arena

Valerenga
2 - 3
Sandefjord

Jatta (52'), Strand (90')
Bjordal (61'), Borchgrevink (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ottosson (63'), Al-Saed (72'), Nyenetue (90+4')
Nyenetue (75'), Nilsson (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Valerenga Fotball and Sandefjord, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Odd 2-1 Valerenga
Sunday, July 23 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Sandefjord 2-5 Bodo/Glimt
Sunday, July 23 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valerenga Fotball win with a probability of 66.13%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Sandefjord had a probability of 15.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valerenga Fotball win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 1-0 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.42%), while for a Sandefjord win it was 1-2 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Valerenga FotballDrawSandefjord
66.13% (0.069000000000003 0.07)18.5% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)15.37% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 57.84% (0.089999999999996 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.85% (0.14400000000001 0.14)35.14% (-0.149 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.85% (0.16099999999999 0.16)57.15% (-0.16399999999999 -0.16)
Valerenga Fotball Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.1% (0.055999999999997 0.06)9.9% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.21% (0.13200000000001 0.13)32.79% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)
Sandefjord Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.2% (0.057999999999993 0.06)35.8% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.42% (0.059000000000001 0.06)72.57% (-0.062000000000012 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Valerenga Fotball 66.13%
    Sandefjord 15.37%
    Draw 18.5%
Valerenga FotballDrawSandefjord
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.48% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.2% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-1 @ 7.51% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.31% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 4.34% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.23% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.86% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.23% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.01% (0.014 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.95% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.03% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 4.27%
Total : 66.13%
1-1 @ 8.42% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 3.54% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.32% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 18.5%
1-2 @ 4.32% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.64% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.87% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 15.37%

How you voted: Valerenga vs Sandefjord

Valerenga Fotball
87.5%
Draw
12.5%
Sandefjord
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 23
Valerenga
4-0
Sandefjord
Layouni (36', 45+2'), Christensen (79'), Eng (84')
May 8, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 5
Sandefjord
1-3
Valerenga
Ruud Tveter (74')
Risan Mork (19'), Kurtovic (45+1'), Haakenstad (67')
Taaje (9' og.), Donnum (32'), Orn Kjartansson (51')
Christensen (83')
Sep 12, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 18
Sandefjord
3-0
Valerenga
Kurtovic (43'), Jensen (60' og.), Gudjonsson (74')

Zuta (55')
May 30, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 5
Valerenga
3-1
Sandefjord
Tollas (39'), Layouni (61'), Donnum (70' pen.)
Donnum (64')
Moen Foss (67')
Moen Foss (28'), Vales (64'), Erik Odegaard (71')
Oct 18, 2020 7.30pm
Gameweek 21
Sandefjord
0-3
Valerenga

Kreuzriegler (78'), Wembangomo (90+1')
Orn Kjartansson (20', 68'), Donnum (88')