Aalesund
Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 25
Oct 22, 2023 at 4pm UK
Color Line Stadion

Aalesund
3 - 2
Sarpsborg

Karlsbakk (38' pen.), Martin Kristensen (40'), Ebiye (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Diop (23' og.), Maigaard (43')
Torp (60')
Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Aalesund and Sarpsborg 08.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aalesund

All competitions
Last Game: Tromso 1-2 Aalesund
Sunday, October 8 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Sarpsborg 08

All competitions
Last Game: Sarpsborg 5-2 Rosenborg
Sunday, October 8 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for Aalesund had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.88%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Aalesund win was 2-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
AalesundDrawSarpsborg 08
30.45% (-0.223 -0.22)23.51% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)46.04% (0.284 0.28)
Both teams to score 61.11% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.56% (0.179 0.18)40.44% (-0.18 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.18% (0.184 0.18)62.81% (-0.186 -0.19)
Aalesund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.39% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)25.61% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.5% (-0.07 -0.07)60.49% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Sarpsborg 08 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.14% (0.181 0.18)17.85% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.38% (0.314 0.31)48.61% (-0.316 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    Aalesund 30.45%
    Sarpsborg 08 46.04%
    Draw 23.51%
AalesundDrawSarpsborg 08
2-1 @ 7.31% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-0 @ 6.23% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-0 @ 4.24% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.32% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.93% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.13% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 30.45%
1-1 @ 10.73% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.3% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 4.57% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.64% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.51%
1-2 @ 9.24% (0.02 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.88% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.79% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.31% (0.043 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.9% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.62% (0.024 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.29% (0.032 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.68% (0.026 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.56% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 46.04%

Head to Head
May 29, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 8
Sarpsborg
3-1
Aalesund
Baah (19'), Soltvedt (36'), Inge Utvik (68')
Skalevik (90')
Atanga (39')
Fallman (58')
Sep 11, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 22
Aalesund
1-3
Sarpsborg
Ebiye (74')
Maigaard (24'), Golubovic (44' og.), Tibbling (56')
May 22, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 7
Sarpsborg
1-2
Aalesund
Molins (13')
Skipper (50'), Horn (52'), Junior Martinsson-Ngouali (59'), Maigaard (90+1')
Haugen (34', 90+2')
Canadija (23'), Bolkan Nordli (38'), Haugen (90+2')
Sep 13, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 17
Aalesund
0-1
Sarpsborg

Castro (45+1')
Heintz (48')
Inge Utvik (81'), Mitov-Nilsson (86')
Aug 2, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 12
Sarpsborg
4-0
Aalesund
Coulibaly (49'), Abdellaoue (52' pen., 63' pen.), Soltvedt (90+2')