Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 60.31%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Tromso IL had a probability of 19.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 1-0 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for a Tromso IL win it was 1-2 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sarpsborg 08 would win this match.