Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 47.65%. A win for HamKam had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.86%) and 0-1 (5.61%). The likeliest HamKam win was 2-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.