Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SK Brann win with a probability of 70.28%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 14.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a SK Brann win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.75%), while for a Sarpsborg 08 win it was 1-2 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SK Brann would win this match.