Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 24
Oct 8, 2023 at 4pm UK
Sarpsborg Stadion
Rosenborg

Sarpsborg
5 - 2
Rosenborg

Lundqvist (41', 77' pen.), Inge Berget (57', 80', 88')
Andersen (14'), Zekhnini (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Frederiksen (50'), Saeter (62' pen.)
Frederiksen (90')
Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Sarpsborg 08 and Rosenborg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sarpsborg 08

All competitions
Last Game: HamKam 1-1 Sarpsborg
Sunday, September 24 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Rosenborg

All competitions
Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Lillestrom 3-0 Rosenborg
Sunday, September 24 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 56.55%. A win for Rosenborg had a probability of 23.1% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.97%) and 3-1 (6.85%). The likeliest Rosenborg win was 1-2 (5.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sarpsborg 08 would win this match.

Result
Sarpsborg 08DrawRosenborg
56.55% (2.152 2.15)20.35% (-0.478 -0.48)23.1% (-1.675 -1.68)
Both teams to score 65.72% (-0.322 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.57% (0.45700000000001 0.46)31.43% (-0.457 -0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.1% (0.537 0.54)52.89% (-0.538 -0.54)
Sarpsborg 08 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.78% (0.73999999999999 0.74)11.22% (-0.74 -0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.24% (1.591 1.59)35.76% (-1.592 -1.59)
Rosenborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.02% (-0.988 -0.99)25.97% (0.988 0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.01% (-1.353 -1.35)60.99% (1.352 1.35)
Score Analysis
    Sarpsborg 08 56.55%
    Rosenborg 23.1%
    Draw 20.35%
Sarpsborg 08DrawRosenborg
2-1 @ 9.4% (0.053999999999998 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.97% (0.234 0.23)
3-1 @ 6.85% (0.238 0.24)
1-0 @ 6.37% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.08% (0.314 0.31)
3-2 @ 4.62% (0.032 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.75% (0.236 0.24)
4-0 @ 2.78% (0.248 0.25)
4-2 @ 2.53% (0.091 0.09)
5-1 @ 1.64% (0.148 0.15)
5-0 @ 1.22% (0.141 0.14)
4-3 @ 1.14% (0.01 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.11% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 56.55%
1-1 @ 8.59% (-0.206 -0.21)
2-2 @ 6.34% (-0.144 -0.14)
0-0 @ 2.91% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-3 @ 2.08% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 20.35%
1-2 @ 5.79% (-0.31 -0.31)
0-1 @ 3.93% (-0.215 -0.22)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.149 -0.15)
0-2 @ 2.65% (-0.226 -0.23)
1-3 @ 2.6% (-0.218 -0.22)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.138 -0.14)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 23.1%

Head to Head
Jun 25, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 11
Rosenborg
0-3
Sarpsborg

Ciljan Skjelbred (5'), Jenssen (45+2')
Maigaard (22'), Wichne (24'), Fardal Opseth (45+3')
Wichne (5')
> Preview
Nov 13, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 30
Rosenborg
2-3
Sarpsborg
Rogers (35'), Cornic (90')
Heintz (6'), Maigaard (37'), Skalevik (90+4')
Apr 18, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 3
Sarpsborg
1-1
Rosenborg
Heintz (45+2')
Skipper (79'), Soltvedt (88')
Vecchia (64')
Pereira (90+4')
Sep 19, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 19
Sarpsborg
1-3
Rosenborg
Jorgen Halvorsen (76')
Dyrestam (8'), Inge Utvik (30'), Wichne (78')
Vecchia (22', 55'), Ciljan Skjelbred (32')
Jean Holm (4'), Ciljan Skjelbred (37'), Dahl Reitan (67'), Andersson (90+3')
Jun 20, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 7
Rosenborg
0-1
Sarpsborg
Thomassen (62')
Bohinen (90')