Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosenborg win with a probability of 63.18%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 18.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosenborg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.69%) and 3-1 (7.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.88%), while for a Sarpsborg 08 win it was 1-2 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.