Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 52.45%. A win for Tromso IL had a probability of 25.45% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.67%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Tromso IL win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.