Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 23

Sep 18, 2022 at 5pm UK

Sarpsborg Stadion

Sarpsborg
4 - 3
Jerv

Saletros (11'), Heintz (24', 69', 73')

FT(HT: 2-3)

Naesbak Brenden (5'), Tjaerandsen-Skau (26'), Hakans (36')

Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Sarpsborg 08 and Jerv.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 64.45%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Jerv had a probability of 16.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 1-0 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.52%), while for a Jerv win it was 1-2 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sarpsborg 08 would win this match.

Result
Sarpsborg 08	Draw	Jerv
64.45% ( -0.16)	18.92% ( 0.07)	16.62% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 59.32% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.37% (

-0.17)

34.62% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.43% (

-0.19)

56.57% (

0.18)

Sarpsborg 08 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.84% (

-0.09)

10.16% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.6% (

-0.2)

33.39% (

0.19)

Jerv Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.03% (

-0)

33.96% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.35% (

-0)

70.64% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Sarpsborg 08 64.45%

Jerv 16.62%

Draw 18.92%

Sarpsborg 08	Draw	Jerv
2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.23% Total : 64.45%	1-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 18.92%	1-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.73% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.73% Total : 16.62%