Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 56.27%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Jerv had a probability of 21.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Jerv win it was 2-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.