Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 18

Aug 14, 2022 at 5pm UK

Jerv
1 - 0
Lillestrom

Simsir (65' pen.)
Fernandes (30'), Sandberg (52'), Mafi (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ranger (81'), Ogbu (86'), (90'), Andre Helland (90')

Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Jerv and Lillestrom.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 56.27%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Jerv had a probability of 21.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Jerv win it was 2-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Jerv	Draw	Lillestrom
21.72% ( 3.23)	22.01% ( 1.22)	56.27% ( -4.45)

Both teams to score 57.63% (

1.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.86% (

-0.94)

41.14% (

0.94)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.47% (

-0.96)

63.53% (

0.96)

Jerv Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.38% (

2.67)

32.61% (

-2.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.84% (

2.89)

69.15% (

-2.89)

Lillestrom Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.52% (

-1.66)

14.47% (

1.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.54% (

-3.31)

42.45% (

3.31)

Score Analysis

Jerv 21.72%

Lillestrom 56.27%

Draw 22%

Jerv	Draw	Lillestrom
2-1 @ 5.73% ( 0.69) 1-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.58) 2-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.51) 3-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.39) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.27) 3-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.26) Other @ 2.42% Total : 21.72%	1-1 @ 10.22% ( 0.54) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.36) 0-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.2% Total : 22%	1-2 @ 9.88% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 8.82% ( -0.73) 1-3 @ 6.37% ( -0.44) 0-3 @ 5.68% ( -0.86) 2-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 3.08% ( -0.42) 0-4 @ 2.74% ( -0.61) 2-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.1) 1-5 @ 1.19% ( -0.25) 0-5 @ 1.06% ( -0.32) Other @ 3.05% Total : 56.27%