Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 21
Sep 4, 2022 at 5pm UK
Sarpsborg Stadion

Sarpsborg
2 - 1
HamKam

Skalevik (90+3'), Heintz (90+6' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hernandez-Foster (5')
Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Sarpsborg 08 and HamKam.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sarpsborg 08

Last Six:
Last Game: Molde 4-1 Sarpsborg
Sunday, August 28 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

HamKam

Last Six:
Last Game: HamKam 1-0 Haugesund
Sunday, August 28 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for HamKam had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest HamKam win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sarpsborg 08 in this match.

Result
Sarpsborg 08DrawHamKam
43.34% (-0.565 -0.57)23.91% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)32.75% (0.612 0.61)
Both teams to score 60.79% (0.433 0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.66% (0.456 0.46)41.33% (-0.46 -0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.27% (0.463 0.46)63.73% (-0.465 -0.46)
Sarpsborg 08 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.67% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)19.33% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.9% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)51.09% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
HamKam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.35% (0.586 0.59)24.64% (-0.589 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.84% (0.812 0.81)59.16% (-0.814 -0.81)
Score Analysis
    Sarpsborg 08 43.34%
    HamKam 32.75%
    Draw 23.9%
Sarpsborg 08DrawHamKam
2-1 @ 9.01% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
1-0 @ 7.83% (-0.178 -0.18)
2-0 @ 6.43% (-0.157 -0.16)
3-1 @ 4.94% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.53% (-0.092 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.46% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.03% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.42% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 43.34%
1-1 @ 10.96% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.31% (0.061 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.76% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.62% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.9%
1-2 @ 7.68% (0.087000000000001 0.09)
0-1 @ 6.67% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.67% (0.061 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.59% (0.101 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.95% (0.078 0.08)
0-3 @ 2.18% (0.064 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.26% (0.056 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 32.75%

Head to Head
Jun 26, 2022 5pm
HamKam
3-2
Sarpsborg
Melgalvis (17'), Eriksen (44'), Enkerud (65')
Melgalvis (67'), Daskevics (90+1')
Kurucay (14' og.), Lindseth (42')
Horn (18')