Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stromsgodset win with a probability of 54.13%. A win for Tromso IL had a probability of 24.6% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stromsgodset win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.15%) and 1-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Tromso IL win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.