Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 64.04%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Kristiansund had a probability of 17.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.78%) and 1-0 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.46%), while for a Kristiansund win it was 1-2 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.