Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valerenga Fotball win with a probability of 49.92%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valerenga Fotball win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.14%) and 1-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.