Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 24
Oct 8, 2023 at 4pm UK
Alfheim Stadion
Aalesund

Tromso
1 - 2
Aalesund

Erlien (52')
Psyche (45+1'), Nordas (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Karlsbakk (45+2' pen.), Butli Hammer (89')
Segberg (40'), Martin Kristensen (45'), Kitolano (73')
Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Tromso IL and Aalesund.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tromso IL

All competitions
Last Game: Stabaek 0-1 Tromso
Saturday, September 30 at 2pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Aalesund

All competitions
Last Game: Aalesund 1-1 Stabaek
Saturday, September 23 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tromso IL win with a probability of 76.44%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Aalesund had a probability of 8.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tromso IL win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.86%), while for an Aalesund win it was 1-2 (2.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Tromso ILDrawAalesund
76.44% (0.125 0.13)14.65% (-0.081 -0.08)8.92% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Both teams to score 50.49% (0.155 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.02% (0.282 0.28)33.97% (-0.281 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.16% (0.321 0.32)55.83% (-0.32 -0.32)
Tromso IL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.67% (0.090000000000003 0.09)7.33% (-0.089 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.51% (0.23400000000001 0.23)26.49% (-0.232 -0.23)
Aalesund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.48% (0.114 0.11)45.52% (-0.114 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.65% (0.09 0.09)81.34% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Tromso IL 76.43%
    Aalesund 8.92%
    Draw 14.65%
Tromso ILDrawAalesund
2-0 @ 11.39% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 9.92% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.97% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.72% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-1 @ 7.81% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
4-0 @ 6.48% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 5.1% (0.036 0.04)
5-0 @ 3.39% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.07% (0.018 0.02)
5-1 @ 2.67% (0.031 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.01% (0.021 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.48% (0.019 0.02)
6-1 @ 1.16% (0.019 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.05% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 76.43%
1-1 @ 6.86% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.53% (0.004 0)
0-0 @ 3.34% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 14.65%
1-2 @ 2.7% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 2.63% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.03% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.93% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 8.92%

Head to Head
Jun 11, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 10
Aalesund
2-3
Tromso
Martin Kristensen (23'), Karlsbakk (82')
Erlien (40', 54'), Vesterlund (73')
Psyche (29')
> Preview
Nov 13, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 30
Tromso
2-2
Aalesund
Kamanzi (12'), Mikkelsen (85')
Kallevag (20'), Ebiye (35')
Apr 18, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 3
Aalesund
2-2
Tromso
Haugen (18', 69')
Oyvann (51'), Gundersen (90+5')
Oyvann (16')