Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Haugesund win with a probability of 53.7%. A win for Aalesund had a probability of 24% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FK Haugesund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Aalesund win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FK Haugesund would win this match.