Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Haugesund win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Stromsgodset had a probability of 30.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FK Haugesund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Stromsgodset win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FK Haugesund would win this match.