/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fajalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Futrlog.png)
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Brian Brobbey
39'
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Sivert Mannsverk
65'
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Kenneth Taylor
77'
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Devyne Rensch
83'
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Marouan Azarkan
36'
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Ryan Flamingo
42'
Ajax vs FC Utrecht - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 59.31%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 20.23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.36%) and 1-0 (7.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result
Ajax
59.31%
▼
(-1.20)
Draw
20.46%
▲
(+0.48)
FC Utrecht
20.23%
▲
(+0.72)
Both Teams to Score:
60.81%
▼
(-0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5
64.1%
▼
(-1.19)
Under 2.5
35.9%
▲
(+1.19)
Over 3.5
42.01%
▼
(-1.33)
Under 3.5
57.99%
▲
(+1.33)
Over 4.5
23.78%
▼
(-1.11)
Under 4.5
76.22%
▲
(+1.11)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5
88.12%
▼
(-0.69)
Under 0.5
11.88%
▲
(+0.69)
Over 1.5
62.82%
▼
(-1.49)
Under 1.5
37.18%
▲
(+1.49)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5
69%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
31%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
32.7%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
67.3%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
Ajax
59.31%
Draw
20.46%
FC Utrecht
20.23%
Ajax
2-1
@
9.79%
▲
(+0.05)
2-0 @ 8.36% ▲ (+0.05)
1-0 @ 7.84% ▲ (+0.26)
3-1 @ 6.95% ▼ (-0.17)
3-0 @ 5.93% ▼ (-0.14)
3-2 @ 4.07% ▼ (-0.10)
4-1 @ 3.7% ▼ (-0.20)
4-0 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.17)
4-2 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.12)
5-1 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.13)
5-0 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 4.41%
Total : 59.31%
2-0 @ 8.36% ▲ (+0.05)
1-0 @ 7.84% ▲ (+0.26)
3-1 @ 6.95% ▼ (-0.17)
3-0 @ 5.93% ▼ (-0.14)
3-2 @ 4.07% ▼ (-0.10)
4-1 @ 3.7% ▼ (-0.20)
4-0 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.17)
4-2 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.12)
5-1 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.13)
5-0 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 4.41%
Total : 59.31%
Draw
1-1
@
9.19%
▲
(+0.29)
2-2 @ 5.73% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 3.68% ▲ (+0.22)
3-3 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 20.46%
2-2 @ 5.73% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 3.68% ▲ (+0.22)
3-3 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 20.46%
FC Utrecht
1-2
@
5.38%
▲
(+0.17)
0-1 @ 4.31% ▲ (+0.25)
0-2 @ 2.53% ▲ (+0.15)
2-3 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 20.23%
0-1 @ 4.31% ▲ (+0.25)
0-2 @ 2.53% ▲ (+0.15)
2-3 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 20.23%