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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 59.31%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 20.23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.36%) and 1-0 (7.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | FC Utrecht |
59.31% (![]() | 20.46% (![]() | 20.23% (![]() |
Both teams to score 60.81% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.1% (![]() | 35.9% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.01% (![]() | 57.99% (![]() |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.12% (![]() | 11.88% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.82% (![]() | 37.18% (![]() |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69% (![]() | 31% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.7% (![]() | 67.3% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 9.79% (![]() 2-0 @ 8.36% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 7.84% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.95% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.93% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.07% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.7% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.16% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.17% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.58% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.35% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 3.49% Total : 59.31% | 1-1 @ 9.19% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.73% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.68% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.59% ( ![]() Other @ 0.28% Total : 20.46% | 1-2 @ 5.38% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.31% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.53% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.24% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.1% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 2.69% Total : 20.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Almere CityAlmere City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Groningen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | FC Twente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Feyenoord | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Heracles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Heerenveen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Willem II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |